PayPal raises 2026 profit forecast as turnaround gains traction
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PayPal has raised its annual profit forecast as a multi-year turnaround begins to take effect. The company anticipates achieving significant cost savings through workforce reductions and operational efficiencies. Consumer spending remains strong despite economic challenges, aiding growth in payment volume. Additionally, PayPal expects adjusted profits in the upcoming holiday quarter to exceed Wall Street expectations. The focus on transformation under new leadership aims for sustainable profitability.
PayPal lifted its annual adjusted profit forecast on Tuesday, as a years-long turnaround starts to bear fruit, with improving margins and resilient consumer spending providing fresh momentum.The company has stepped up efforts to revive growth, most recently under CEO Enrique Lores, as it struggles to sustain its pandemic-era popularity amid intense competition from Apple and Google and newer fintechs.
As on 27 Oct 2026, 01:30 AM IST
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"While there is more work to do, we are increasingly confident in our path to durable, profitable growth and remain focused on execution," he added.
The payments company now expects full-year adjusted profit of about $5.60 per share, compared with its previous forecast and Wall Street analysts' expectations of $5.38, according to estimates compiled by LSEG.
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Adjusted profit came in at $1.45 per share in the three months ended September 30, sailing past estimates of $1.31.
Revenue of $8.6 billion in the third quarter was a tad below estimates of $8.7 billion. Shares of the company fell 1.2% in premarket trading.
REVIVAL ON TRACK
The company said it was on track to achieve $700 million in gross run-rate cost savings by the end of 2026, driven by cuts to more than 2,000 jobs and a reduction of over 25% in managerial roles.
Efforts to streamline operations, optimize its portfolio and accelerate AI adoption, including using AI chat agents to support customer service, are also supporting the cost-management efforts, PayPal said.
The company has set a goal of securing at least $1.5 billion in gross run-rate savings over the next two to three years.
Adjusted operating margin, a key metric for investors, expanded 16 basis points to 18.8% in the third quarter.
Earlier this year, Reuters reported, citing sources, that PayPal had received a buyout offer of $60.50 per share from Stripe and private equity firm Advent International, a bid that many analysts described as "low-ball."
The offer, which valued PayPal at about $53 billion, was reportedly deemed inadequate by the board and represented a fraction of the roughly $360 billion valuation the company commanded at its peak in 2021.
SPENDING ENGINE KEEPS HUMMING
More broadly, US consumers have continued to open their wallets despite economic uncertainty and sticky inflation, helping sustain spending growth across the payments industry.
PayPal's total payment volume grew 7% on a foreign exchange-neutral basis to $487.1 billion in the third quarter.
The year-end holiday season brings a crucial sales period for the payments sector, as retailers roll out eye-catching discounts and doorbuster deals online and in stores for Black Friday, Cyber Monday and Christmas.
PayPal expects adjusted profit in the fourth quarter to come in at $1.43 per share, well above Street expectations of $1.35 and $1.23 a year earlier.
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Figures reflect the source report and its stated period. This article is for information and is not investment advice.



